Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.642872 0.729410 0.821855 0.927800 1.045689 1.172674 1.319634
2025-08-03 0.519143 0.640931 0.780734 0.952392 1.156740 1.391442 1.680588
2025-08-10 0.421052 0.562730 0.736607 0.964001 1.251637 1.601300 2.056214
2025-08-17 0.346344 0.498896 0.698202 0.974450 1.343668 1.815897 2.460582
2025-08-24 0.289670 0.447824 0.666889 0.987235 1.437372 2.039945 2.898482
2025-08-31 0.240352 0.397739 0.628243 0.982752 1.504613 2.233062 3.312040
2025-09-07 0.207396 0.365581 0.609452 1.002116 1.604814 2.477992 3.816342
2025-09-14 0.174420 0.327284 0.575125 0.992330 1.658894 2.659347 4.242983
2025-09-21 0.152034 0.302375 0.557733 1.005414 1.747077 2.896063 4.767664
2025-09-28 0.128580 0.271258 0.525194 0.988740 1.784598 3.056258 5.186011
2025-10-05 0.117467 0.260858 0.526574 1.028673 1.917206 3.374347 5.872011
2025-10-12 0.107796 0.251483 0.528203 1.068480 2.052120 3.704815 6.599262
2025-10-19 0.095827 0.235598 0.515955 1.082393 2.144543 3.974341 7.250445
2025-10-26 0.084238 0.218392 0.498700 1.084667 2.215909 4.213112 7.866697
2025-11-02 0.073737 0.201595 0.479808 1.081230 2.275811 4.435614 8.469524
2025-11-09 0.065085 0.187407 0.464244 1.082282 2.343613 4.676068 9.118487
2025-11-16 0.058060 0.175793 0.452508 1.089559 2.423516 4.943156 9.830838
2025-11-23 0.050832 0.162147 0.434165 1.080382 2.469251 5.149335 10.444754
2025-11-30 0.046232 0.154589 0.428792 1.098662 2.571915 5.468805 11.285482
2025-12-07 0.040477 0.142528 0.410796 1.086285 2.609116 5.664282 11.904739
2025-12-14 0.036718 0.135498 0.404210 1.099324 2.701175 5.972358 12.755355
2025-12-21 0.031963 0.124300 0.385221 1.080558 2.721910 6.139143 13.341648
2025-12-28 0.030295 0.122640 0.391235 1.123284 2.882757 6.599169 14.528050